New Delhi: According to online technology platform Neta App, which allows voters to rate their leaders and claims a subscriber base of nearly 16 million verified voters, the BJP would form the next government in Madhya Pradesh, though with a considerably truncated majority than last time.

According to data from Neta App’s subscribers from Madhya Pradesh, the BJP is faced with serious anti-incumbency after having received an overwhelming mandate in the past three Assembly polls, but would still get 117 seats against 105 predicted for the Congress.

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During opinion polls over three months, the Neta App found the BJP leading with 118 seats, and put the Congress's tally at 105 and that of BSP at 7 in July. In August, the Congress’s seats increased to 112, only to fall to 105 again in October. While the votes of the Congress and BJP have swung, that of the BSP has remained more or less stable with an increase of one seat over this period.

Below is the region-wise prediction of seats for the contending political parties according to votes received on the Neta platform:

The approval ratings of incumbent chief minister Shivraj Singh Chouhan remain quite high as 54% of the respondents ticked him as their first choice for the post. His report card among the respondents is as follows:

Interestingly, according to the app’s data collection, as the polls approach closer, Chouhan’s rating is going to go up. Over the past 30 days, as the campaign gathered steam, a 6% bump was witnessed in Chouhan's popularity. Jyotiraditya Scindia’s popularity too went up by 3% initially, but declined by 4% in the last 30 days. The popularity of Kamal Nath, however, declined by 5%. A month ago, Chouhan and Scindia were head-to-head among the app users, but in the past three weeks, the former has leaped forward.

Apart from the declining popularity of the Congress’s regional leaders, the app also noted a declining approval of Congress chief Rahul Gandhi when it comes to a choice for the position of the prime minister. Prime Minister Narendra Modi, according to the app’s survey, enjoys a huge popularity and remains people’s first choice for the PM's post. Following chart shows how Congress President Gandhi trails far behind PM Modi.

The app, developed by entrepreneur Pratham Mittal, was launched in August by the former President of India, Pranab Mukherjee, and was attended by Delhi chief minister Arvind Kejriwal, former chief election commissioners SY Quraishi and Nasim Zaidi, former law minister Ashwani Kumar, former HRD minister Murli Manohar Joshi, former home minister Shivraj Patil, and MoS social justice and empowerment Vijay Sampla.

“The Neta App aims to create a deep impact on the political engagement in India. Apart from the obvious ability to let people rate their MLAs and MPs, the app serves as a useful barometer to gauge voter sentiment at any given point of time, across each constituency,” Mittal said.