Reserve Bank of India lowers GDP projection for 2019-20 from 7% to 6.9%

By Team MyNation  |  First Published Aug 7, 2019, 5:20 PM IST

The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) has been lowered marginally from 7% to 6.9% for the year 2019-20. The Reserve Bank of India has cut the repo rate by an unusual 0.35 percentage points to 5.40% in its third monetary policy review for the current financial year. Repo rate is the rate at which the RBI lends to banks.
 

Mumbai: The Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday marginally lowered the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth projection for 2019-20 to 6.9% from 7% forecast in the June policy, and underlined the need for addressing growth concerns by boosting aggregate demand.  

The RBI has cut the repo rate by an unusual 0.35 percentage points to 5.40 per cent in its third monetary policy review for the current financial year. Repo rate is the rate at which the RBI lends to banks.

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RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das said the central bank has lowered the GDP growth forecast owing to demand and investment slowdown, which is causing dampening effect on the growth.

"Real GDP growth for 2019-20 is revised downwards from 7 % in the June policy to 6.9% - in the range of 5.8-6.6% for first half of 2019-20 and 7.3-7.5% for the second half - with risks somewhat tilted to the downside," RBI said in the monetary policy statement.

Das said perhaps at this point of time there is cyclical slowdown and not a deep structural slowdown. "Nevertheless, there is a need for structural reforms. We are still working on it," Das said. The GDP growth for the first quarter of the next fiscal beginning April 2020 has been projected at 7.4%.

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The RBI said various high frequency indicators suggest weakening of both domestic and external demand conditions. The Business Expectations Index of the RBI's industrial outlook survey shows muted expansion in demand conditions in the second quarter, although a decline in input costs augurs well for growth, RBI said. "The impact of monetary policy easing since February 2019 is also expected to support economic activity, going forward. Moreover, base effects will turn favourable in H2:2019-20," it added.

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